Partner Capability Estimation for Task-Agnostic Adaptation in Ad-Hoc Teamwork

Effective collaboration with novel and diverse partners is a crucial skill for autonomous agents. Most current ad-hoc teamwork (AHT) approaches assume that agents will collaborate on a single, fixed task and that the partner's capabilities, their ability to successfully execute the desired action, are already known. In reality, a partner's true capabilities are often hidden, and human collaborators may act sub-optimally on tasks with multiple valid strategies. To address these limitations, we extend ad-hoc teamwork into a multi-task setting by re-framing it as a problem of joint planning with decentralised execution under hidden partner capabilities. We introduce CE-CM (Capability Estimation via Contextual Models), an approximate Bayesian method that infers task-invariant capability vectors. By using simulation-based sampling, the agent estimates capabilities and induces a contextual Multi-agent Markov Decision Processes for planning. This approach requires no population pre-training and refines its beliefs online from just a few tasks. To account for human unpredictability, we propose CE-CM-Div, an extension that evaluates capability hypotheses against diverse planner rollouts rather than a single optimal trajectory. Simulated experiments demonstrate that CE-CM rapidly recovers hidden capabilities, reduces infeasible action assignments, and adapts to changes over time. Furthermore, in an offline human study of 225 trajectories from 15 participants, CE-CM-Div substantially im